Tracked trade value 2024

USD 5.43T 1.9% CAGR from 2000

Container rate average 2024

USD 3,508 Peak USD 12,560 in 2021-12

Supply chain pressure peak

2.92 2021-09 pressure index high

Port congestion 2024

1.55 Peak annual average 2021: 4.75

Top vulnerable industry 2024

Automotive Score 7.87

Extreme disruptions

15 58 total events through 2025

Trade Value Trend

Tracked trade increased from USD 3.41T to USD 5.43T. Active 2024 lanes: 49.

2000-2024
Tracked trade value
0.0T1.5T3.0T4.4T5.9T 200020122024

Container Freight Reset

Average annual container rates remain above the 2019 baseline after the 2021 peak.

USD / 40ft
Container rate per 40ft
0.0k2.7k5.3k8.0k10.6k 201920202021202220232024

Supply Chain Pressure

On-time delivery trough: 68.7% in 2021-12.

Index
Supply chain pressure
0.00.71.42.02.7 201920202021202220232024

Port Congestion Cycle

2021 was the highest-stress year in the port panel, followed by partial normalization.

Annual avg
Congestion index
0.01.32.63.85.1 201920202021202220232024

Most Congested Ports

Average congestion index by port in 2024.

Top 8
Felixstowe, UK
2.25
Hamburg, Germany
2.20
Rotterdam, Netherlands
2.17
Antwerp, Belgium
2.05
Guangzhou, China
1.45
Dubai (Jebel Ali), UAE
1.45
Ningbo, China
1.43
Singapore, Singapore
1.42

Industry Vulnerability

Overall vulnerability scores in 2024.

Top 10
Automotive
7.87
Semiconductors
7.61
Consumer Electronics
7.12
Energy & Chemicals
6.99
Aerospace & Defense
6.50
Food & Agriculture
6.21
Industrial Machinery
6.10
Pharma & Medical
5.99
Retail & Apparel
5.88
Luxury Goods
4.17

Event Severity Mix

Named disruption events by severity, through 2025.

58 events
high
28
medium
15
extreme
15

Exposure Readout

Cross-sectional relationships in the 2024 industry panel.

Correlation
JIT dependency Correlation with vulnerability: 0.666.
Inventory buffer Correlation with vulnerability: -0.626.
Peak freight shock Container rates reached USD 12,560 in 2021-12.

Largest 2024 Trade Corridors

Corridors ranked by tracked trade value.

Top 8
CorridorCategoryValueTariffRisk
USA -> CanadaintegratedUSD 564.52B2.5%0.312
Canada -> USAintegratedUSD 547.82B2.5%0.341
Mexico -> USAmanufacturingUSD 508.35B2.5%0.100
USA -> MexicointegratedUSD 413.85B2.5%0.100
USA -> EUservices_goodsUSD 360.36B2.5%0.228
EU -> USAservices_goodsUSD 334.55B2.5%0.474
China -> JapanmanufacturingUSD 141.31B2.5%0.390
Japan -> ChinamanufacturingUSD 134.75B2.5%0.201

Highest Concentration Risk

Corridors ranked by concentration-risk score.

Top 8
CorridorCategoryValueRisk
Egypt -> EUenergy_goodsUSD 88.20B0.572
Taiwan -> USAsemiconductorsUSD 32.74B0.547
South Africa -> ChinacommoditiesUSD 93.20B0.532
Taiwan -> ChinasemiconductorsUSD 39.64B0.530
Japan -> USAmanufacturingUSD 44.44B0.517
SouthKorea -> USAmanufacturingUSD 36.90B0.512
Germany -> ChinamanufacturingUSD 37.91B0.504
Peru -> ChinacommoditiesUSD 8.11B0.490

Longest Recovery Events

Events with the longest estimated recovery windows.

Recovery months
DateEventSeverityDaysRecovery
2022-09-01CHIPS Act signed — semiconductor reshoringmedium1,82536 mo
2024-10-01Semiconductor export controls tighten (ASML)medium73030 mo
2018-07-06US-China trade war escalation ($250B)extreme73025 mo
2021-07-01Global semiconductor shortage peakextreme36522 mo
2025-03-01EU retaliatory tariffs on US goodshigh36520 mo
2023-05-01Nearshoring accelerates — Mexico boommedium73019 mo
2016-06-23Brexit vote — UK supply chain uncertaintymedium36518 mo
2025-02-01US-China trade war round 2 begins (10%→145%)extreme36517 mo

Data Quality Snapshot

Basic checks from the loaded CSV files.

CSV audit
DatasetRowsColsDupesMissing
trade_flows1,25011050
shipping_rates30012013
port_congestion6,2601100
industry_exposure2501500
disruption_events581800